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Prediction of Alexander Ritschard [135th] vs Fabio Fognini [112th] Head-to-Head At The 2025 Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (04-21-25)

By Wojtek Kolan - April 21, 2025

Ritschard is scheduled to play Fognini on Monday at 04:40 PM CET, in the Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid, Q1 round.

Ritschard vs. Fognini Forecast

Derived from the implied probability from the match winner, Fognini has a 54.55% chance to get the victory.

TAKE NOTE: Join the Matchstat.com tennis predictions club to compare implied vs our expert predictions to get access to value bets in order to make successful bets.

Prediction Chance To Win
Fabio Fognini 54.55 %
Alexander Ritschard 52.15 %

Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.

Head To Head: Ritschard 0 - 0 Fognini

Ritschard vs Fognini H2H Profile
Ritschard Stats Fognini
40% (4-6) YTD Win/Loss 14% (1-6)
0 Head-to-Head 0
135 Ranking 112
99 Highest Rank 9
31 Age 37
R Plays R
9 Titles 20
59% (337-239) Career Total W/L 57% (688-528)
$210,700 Career Prize Money $10,850,083

MATCHSTAT.COM PREDICTION

Ritschard VS Fognini Clay

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid atp

21 Apr 2025 / Q1 round

Fabio Fognini implied favourite from odds → 54.55%

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
Edge

Fabio Fognini

To Win

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Alexander Ritschard

To Win

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Fabio Fognini

To Win first set

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Alexander Ritschard

To Win first set

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Fabio Fognini

To win 2-0

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Alexander Ritschard

To win 2-0

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Alexander Ritschard

To win 2-1

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Fabio Fognini

To win 2-1

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over 20

Games

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Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)

Ritschard VS Fognini H2H Matches played

No H2H Matches Available

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Alexander Ritschard vs Fabio Fognini Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Ritschard 0 - 0 Fognini

Editorial Prediction:

When analyzing the upcoming tennis match between Ritschard and Fognini, several key statistics provide valuable insights into their potential performance. Over the last six months, Ritschard has demonstrated a slightly better second serve performance, winning 44.41% of his points compared to Fognini's 42.71%. Historically, second serve efficacy often aligns with match prediction accuracy. However, Fognini has shown superior first serve return statistics, with a success rate of 29.34% compared to Ritschard's 28.83%.

Examining their return game, we find that Fognini excels, having won 48.68% of his opponent's second serve points. Conversely, Ritschard has managed a marginally lower rate of 44.44%. In terms of match pressure and breakpoint situations, Fognini prevails by saving 53.79% of breakpoints, whereas Ritschard saves 52.08%. This provides an edge in predicting in-game outcomes during high-pressure points.

Performance over the past year indicates Ritschard's win record stands at 60.42% (29 wins out of 48 matches), while Fognini's is 50% (26 wins out of 52 matches). Both players show a preference for clay surfaces; Ritschard has a win rate of 64% on clay, while Fognini closely follows with 63%. However, Fognini falters on indoor hard courts, managing only a 42% win rate, while Ritschard's least favorable surface is grass, with a win rate of 44%.

In relation to the level of play, Ritschard has achieved a 74.29% win rate in Challengers or ITF tournaments over the last year, surpassing Fognini's 65.22% in similar competitions. However, the quality of opponents they faced might affect these statistics, as Fognini competed against players averaging a rank of 185.54 compared to Ritschard facing those ranked at 227.98. Should the match proceed to a deciding set, Fognini boasts a significant advantage, winning 65% of such scenarios compared to Ritschard's 38% over the last year.

In terms of breakpoint opportunities, Ritschard demonstrates a slight edge by converting 35.29% of chances, while Fognini converts 33.01%. This metric can be pivotal for in-game betting when players face breakpoint opportunities. Given these statistics, Fognini appears better positioned to secure victory, particularly if the match extends into a deciding set.

Alexander Ritschard vs Fabio Fognini Best Odds For The Match

To Win
Fognini
-120
Ritschard
-109
Games
> 20
+100

Alexander Ritschard Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
Q1
cross
Alexander Bublik
Player
Alexander Ritschard
61% ( 33 of 54)
1st Serve %
56% ( 31 of 55)
5
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
79% ( 26 of 33)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 21 of 31)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 10 of 24)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
28% ( 15 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 24 of 55)
63
Total Points Won
46
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Cristian Garin
Player
Alexander Ritschard
59% ( 30 of 51)
1st Serve %
55% ( 41 of 75)
5
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
4
87% ( 26 of 30)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 24 of 41)
67% ( 14 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
62% ( 21 of 34)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
22% ( 11 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 30 of 75)
70
Total Points Won
56
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Marco Trungelliti
Player
Alexander Ritschard
56% ( 60 of 108)
1st Serve %
70% ( 61 of 87)
4
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
5
68% ( 41 of 60)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 41 of 61)
52% ( 25 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
39% ( 42 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 35 of 87)
101
Total Points Won
94
L
6-4 5-7 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Alexander Blockx
Player
Alexander Ritschard
59% ( 47 of 79)
1st Serve %
65% ( 55 of 84)
9
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
70% ( 33 of 47)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 40 of 55)
72% ( 23 of 32)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 15 of 29)
100% ( 3 of 3)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
29% ( 23 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 29 of 84)
85
Total Points Won
78
L
7-6(3) 3-6 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Alexis Galarneau
Player
Alexander Ritschard
59% ( 58 of 99)
1st Serve %
63% ( 67 of 107)
5
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
6
62% ( 36 of 58)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 46 of 67)
56% ( 23 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 16 of 40)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
50% ( 5 of 10)
40% ( 40 of 99)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 45 of 107)
104
Total Points Won
102
L
2-6 7-5 7-6(9) H2H
R2
cross
Alexander Ritschard
Player
Pedro Araujo
59% ( 44 of 74)
1st Serve %
67% ( 39 of 58)
1
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
61% ( 27 of 44)
1st Serve Won
49% ( 19 of 39)
50% ( 15 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
75% ( 6 of 8)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
43% ( 32 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 32 of 58)
74
Total Points Won
58
W
6-2 7-5 H2H
R1
cross
Alexander Ritschard
Player
Patrick Kypson
62% ( 55 of 89)
1st Serve %
68% ( 52 of 77)
5
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
1
71% ( 39 of 55)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 33 of 52)
44% ( 15 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 13 of 25)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
39% ( 35 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 31 of 77)
85
Total Points Won
81
W
7-6(5) 7-5 H2H
QF
cross
Liam Draxl
Player
Alexander Ritschard
68% ( 32 of 47)
1st Serve %
61% ( 28 of 46)
4
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
75% ( 24 of 32)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 16 of 28)
67% ( 10 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
28% ( 13 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 23 of 46)
57
Total Points Won
36
L
6-4 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Alexander Ritschard
Player
Bernabe Zapata Miralles
51% ( 43 of 84)
1st Serve %
74% ( 49 of 66)
2
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
2
72% ( 31 of 43)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 33 of 49)
51% ( 21 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 7 of 17)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
38% ( 32 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 26 of 66)
78
Total Points Won
72
W
7-6(2) 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Alexander Ritschard
Player
Sebastian Fanselow
49% ( 26 of 53)
1st Serve %
48% ( 29 of 60)
2
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
85% ( 22 of 26)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 15 of 29)
48% ( 13 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 15 of 31)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
34% ( 18 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 30 of 60)
65
Total Points Won
48
W
6-4 6-4 H2H

Fabio Fognini Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Francisco Cerundolo
Player
Fabio Fognini
73% ( 27 of 37)
1st Serve %
53% ( 31 of 59)
4
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
6
81% ( 22 of 27)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 16 of 31)
80% ( 8 of 10)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 12 of 28)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
19% ( 7 of 37)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 31 of 59)
61
Total Points Won
35
L
6-0 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Raphael Collignon
Player
Fabio Fognini
73% ( 40 of 55)
1st Serve %
44% ( 24 of 55)
2
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
75% ( 30 of 40)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 14 of 24)
47% ( 7 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 16 of 31)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
33% ( 18 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 25 of 55)
62
Total Points Won
48
L
6-3 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Gauthier Onclin
Player
Fabio Fognini
80% ( 106 of 132)
1st Serve %
57% ( 59 of 103)
0
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
13
55% ( 58 of 106)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 33 of 59)
27% ( 7 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 14 of 44)
53% ( 9 of 17)
Break Points Won
36% ( 8 of 22)
51% ( 67 of 132)
Rtn Points Won
54% ( 56 of 103)
121
Total Points Won
114
L
6-3 4-6 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Constant Lestienne
Player
Fabio Fognini
58% ( 41 of 71)
1st Serve %
67% ( 42 of 63)
4
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
5
63% ( 26 of 41)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 29 of 42)
63% ( 19 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 7 of 21)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
37% ( 26 of 71)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 27 of 63)
72
Total Points Won
62
L
6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Tristan Schoolkate
48% ( 39 of 82)
1st Serve %
48% ( 38 of 79)
3
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
4
72% ( 28 of 39)
1st Serve Won
76% ( 29 of 38)
58% ( 25 of 43)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 19 of 41)
60% ( 3 of 5)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
35% ( 29 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 31 of 79)
84
Total Points Won
77
W
1-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Colton Smith
Player
Fabio Fognini
73% ( 41 of 56)
1st Serve %
44% ( 27 of 62)
4
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
10
71% ( 29 of 41)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 17 of 27)
60% ( 9 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 15 of 35)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
32% ( 18 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 30 of 62)
68
Total Points Won
50
L
6-3 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Benjamin Bonzi
Player
Fabio Fognini
71% ( 12 of 17)
1st Serve %
50% ( 9 of 18)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
4
75% ( 9 of 12)
1st Serve Won
89% ( 8 of 9)
60% ( 3 of 5)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
0% ( 0 of 0)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
29% ( 5 of 17)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 7 of 18)
19
Total Points Won
16
L
3-2 ret. H2H
F
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Lukas Neumayer
51% ( 42 of 82)
1st Serve %
61% ( 59 of 97)
2
Aces
1
7
Double Faults
5
62% ( 26 of 42)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 35 of 59)
48% ( 19 of 40)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 15 of 38)
46% ( 6 of 13)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
45% ( 37 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 47 of 97)
92
Total Points Won
87
W
6-3 2-6 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
60% ( 56 of 93)
1st Serve %
66% ( 67 of 102)
2
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
1
66% ( 37 of 56)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 31 of 67)
54% ( 20 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 19 of 35)
41% ( 7 of 17)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
39% ( 36 of 93)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 52 of 102)
109
Total Points Won
86
W
6-4 6-7(3) 6-0 H2H
QF
cross
Fabio Fognini
Player
Denis Yevseyev
69% ( 31 of 45)
1st Serve %
71% ( 44 of 62)
1
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
1
65% ( 20 of 31)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 22 of 44)
64% ( 9 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
36% ( 16 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 31 of 62)
60
Total Points Won
47
W
6-4 6-2 H2H

Where To Watch Ritschard vs Fognini?

When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page. For live streaming at TV channels of this match, see our ATP and WTA worldwide viewing pages. Free trial live streaming of Ritschard Vs Fognini is now available here.

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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Ritschard & Fognini Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Alexander Ritschard Ritschard Stats Fabio Fognini Fognini
64% (188/108) Win/Loss 63% (467/279)
61% (413/265) Sets Win/Loss 59% (1073/754)
54% (3440/2880) Games Win/Loss 53% (9049/8163)
0.21 Aces Per Game 0.15
639 Aces Total 1295
0.22 Double Faults Per Game 0.21
670 Total Double Faults 1782
1:9:17 Average Match Time 1st Match
456.06 Average Opponent Rank 502.57
58% (8125/14002) 1st Serve % 60% (23666/39342)
69% (5640/8125) 1st Serve Win % 67% (15791/23666)
51% (2993/5877) 2nd Serve Win % 49% (7666/15676)
42% (686/1643) Break Points Won % (Total) 44% (1928/4368)
42% (6093/14412) Return Points Win % 42% (16260/39124)
64% (188/295) Best of 3 Sets Win % 62% (419/674)
0% (0/1) Best of 5 Sets Win % 69% (42/61)
47% (34/72) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 59% (124/210)
58% (49/85) Deciding Set Win % 63% (161/257)
90% (182/163) 1st Set Won, Won Match 87% (420/366)
10% (182/19) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 12% (420/52)
22% (114/25) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 31% (326/100)

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